The Seattle metropolitan area has seen a pullback in new housing permits issued in 2025, foreshadowing a pending drop in completions that will likely lead to upward pressure on rents.
Office leasing activity edged higher in the first half of the year, though overall leasing volume remains stubbornly below its typical level from the late 2010s. While a few markets appear to be in full-blown recovery, others are still off the pace, hampered by both tepid demand and the absence of large blocks of available premium space.
After several years of elevated development, the Puget Sound industrial market is entering a slowdown. The region's construction pipeline has shrunk to its lowest point in more than five years, with new starts over the past 12 months falling to their lowest level in over a decade.
Among Puget Sound-area cities with populations greater than 10,000, Shoreline tops the list for pace of population growth over the past year, according to newly released data from the Washington State Office of Financial Management (OFM).
After falling from a high of around 24 million square feet of new leases in 2021, leasing volume has settled close to the 2010s average of around 12 million square feet in new leases signed annually. However, while leasing levels have normalized back toward historic levels, speculative construction and space givebacks continue to push Seattle’s industrial availability to record levels.
Seattle industrial demand has contracted over the past couple of years, and occupancy has remained relatively flat. After a wave of demand early in the decade, leasing volumes have returned to pre-pandemic levels. Meanwhile, speculative construction and an uptick in sublet availability have put a significant amount of space on the market.
While the Puget Sound region's retail market remains historically tight, availability has been on the rise. As of the end of the second quarter of 2025, more than 6 million square feet of retail space is listed as available to lease, compared to 5.4 million square feet in the same quarter in 2024.
Some of the Puget Sound region’s most central neighborhoods are seeing the fastest rise in rents. The Lake Union area tops the list, followed by Queen Anne and downtown Seattle.
The pace of office occupancy losses has slowed dramatically over the past 12 months, and surging leasing activity indicates that the long-awaited recovery is at last underway.
The apartment market in the Puget Sound region is likely past its peak vacancy rate and is forecast to see further tightening over the coming quarters.
Over the past 12 months, the Emerald City has seen its highest level of apartment demand in three years. The pace of absorption, the net change in occupied units from one period to the next, has doubled since reaching a nadir two years ago.
Across the Puget Sound region, medical offices have consistently outperformed traditional office space in terms of vacancy. Historically, vacancies have been lower in medical offices, especially during office downturns.
As ground-up hotel development faces sustained headwinds, conversions have emerged as a key strategy for growth. However, the opportunity for conversions varies significantly by market, often depending on the mix of branded versus independent properties. An analysis of the top 25 U.S. markets reveals a clear pattern: Markets with a higher share of independent hotels tend to offer greater potential for conversions into branded flags.
Despite being one of the fastest-growing office nodes in the country over the past few years, along with significant space give-backs by companies like Microsoft, Seattle's Eastside suburbs are seeing a significantly tighter office market than the city of Seattle proper, especially when it comes to higher-quality office space.
According to the latest city-level population estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau, Seattle added nearly 17,000 residents last year. That equals 2.2% growth for the Emerald City, making it the fourth-fastest-growing large city in the nation.
According to the most recent data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the largest cities in the Pacific Northwest saw a decline in manufacturing employment over the past few months.