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A Tale of Two Office Recessions

This Time May Really Be Different, but Flight to Quality is Nothing New
Newer-vintage buildings, like the recently completed 425 Park Ave. in Manhattan, figure to have a competitive advantage for as long as the office recession lasts. (Andria Cheng/CoStar)
Newer-vintage buildings, like the recently completed 425 Park Ave. in Manhattan, figure to have a competitive advantage for as long as the office recession lasts. (Andria Cheng/CoStar)
CoStar Analytics
February 17, 2023 | 3:12 P.M.

For anyone who lived through them, the events are seared in memory. First, a “Black Swan” event triggered an economic crisis. In response, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates to near-zero, while a divided Congress raced to pass emergency legislation to stabilize the economy—all in the middle of a presidential election campaign. Meanwhile, millions of people lost their jobs. In the office sector, absorption turned sharply negative while the industry braced for a “new normal.”

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